Thursday, January 9, 2025

Snow this weekend

 TL;DR:

Snow starts tomorrow night with the passage of a cold front; the heaviest snow falls between then and Saturday morning with snow showers potentially continuing through Sunday night. We then dry out.

Nowcast:

It's a cold and somewhat foggy morning in the mountains; here are some views from Park City (left) and Solitude (right) webcams:


Both images courtesy of OpenSnow

Temps are in the single digits above about 9500'; they'll warm only up to about 15°F at the highest elevations, but fortunately winds should be well-behaved (mostly light) and we should see a lot of blue sky once the fog evaporates, potentially making the cold a bit more bearable...

Short-term:

We'll see our next chance for snow tomorrow evening as a cold front crashes through northern Utah. It's not a particularly strong or moisture-laden system, but it does bring some chilly temps (~10°F at 10,000' by 11am Saturday) so we could squeeze out a decent amount of snow. Most models are currently showing 4-8" for most mountains by 11pm Saturday, and I wouldn't be at all surprised if the good old favored locations like the Cottonwoods get a little bit more. It also looks like we might keep some snow showers going behind the cold front through Sunday night which would add a couple of inches to these predicted totals.

Long-term:

High pressure returns with next workweek and it looks to remain for at least the next ten days, resulting in mostly calm/non-snowy conditions; we should see occasional shots of cold air though. Here's that statement represented in a GIF:

Mean sea level pressure, courtesy of Tropical Tidbits

You can see the high pressure along the West Coast and into the interior West, blocking the storm track save for the couple occasional weak systems sneaking in.

Backcountry comments:

If you will be traveling in the backcountry, make sure you have the proper training and equipment and know before you go. For the avalanche forecast and other avy-related resources, check out utahavalanchecenter.org.

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