Saturday, February 11, 2023

Only Hard for a Little Longer

 

TL;DR: Warm and dry this weekend with a couple inches expected on Monday and a larger system moving though the middle of next week. 


Nowcast:

Today it will be warmer than the past few days. Curranty, Alta is recording around 43F at the base and 30F at the summit. There are broken upper level clouds that is limiting the exposure to the sun. this might keep the snow solid with little softening throughout the day. 


Short Term:

It will be warm and dry for the rest of the weekend with temps in the mountains in the 40s. Monday there might be a small burst of snow, only a dusting to a few inches. More Significant snow is expected later in the week. 


Long Term:

This is where it gets exciting. Wednesday it looks like we are in for an ok dump. A large low pressure system is moving down from the north and we are right in the bullseye. It looks to move through late Tuesday and through Wednesday. Its hard right now to say how much snow will accompany this from because the modules are forecasting low atmospheric moisture. The GFS seems to be predicting most of the precipitation will fall in southern Utah with the north getting only getting a few inches.
ECMWF 500mb height anomalies

GFS Precip predictions



 


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