Nowcast: Under a fairly strong southerly flow at the highest ridge-lines, mid-day mountain temperatures are warm, ranging from the low to mid 30s at resort base level to the 20s on the upper elevation ridge-lines. All resorts are reporting new snow in the past 24 hours, with Brighton leading the way with 9 inches, though that all fell during the day yesterday. For today, expect a mix of sun and clouds, with cloud cover increasing during the day and the potential for some snow showers in the afternoon. Here is Alta's Mt. Baldy cam at 11:15 a.m.
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| Source: Alta Ski Area |
Short-term Forecast: In a pre-frontal southwesterly flow environment, we can expect snow during the day tomorrow.
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| Source: University of Utah Department of Atmospheric Science |
Mountain crest level temperatures tomorrow will be around -5 °C (bottom left plot above), which is fairly warm for Northern Utah, so we can expect dense snow and rain below around 6,500 feet.
A frontal passage finally occurs on Wednesday morning at around 9:00 a.m. local time, causing the winds to shift to more northwesterly (bottom left plot below).
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| Source: University of Utah Department of Atmospheric Science |
Temperatures on Wednesday will fall, yielding higher snow-to-liquid ratios. However, there is a bit less moisture to work with on Wednesday. By mid-week, we could be looking at an additional 15 inches of fairly heavy snow.
Mid-long Range Forecast:
We clear out for the weekend with ridging taking control over the intermountain west. This will yield warm temperatures and bluebird conditions for exploration.
Enjoy the new snow!
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