Monday, December 18, 2023

There may be hope...


TL;DR

A few flakes are possible on Wednesday, then a stronger storm is possible for the weekend.

Nowcast

*Note: Blogger was giving me a hard time this morning and not letting me upload pictures, so there will be no graphics or pictures in this post. Sorry about that :/

The mood in the mountains this morning was different than the past few days, with gray clouds blocking out the sun and almost giving off pre-storm-day vibes... there were some cool webcam pictures from Alta and Park City Mountain Resort showing this if you want to check them out :)

Today will feature warm temperatures (mid-30s °F) with somewhat gusty winds and mostly cloudy skies.

Short-term


Unfortunately, the clouds aren't heralding an incoming storm for us - they're a reminder that the Sierra Nevada of California are about to get slammed with a good storm. They need it, though, so I can't be too bitter...

But back to Utah. We're in for a couple of cloudy, somewhat windy, and relatively warm (mountain highs in the mid-30s °F) days.

The storm bound for California that I referenced above will eventually make its way inland, sending moisture into Utah. Cold air will also be in place, setting us up for at least a few flakes on Wednesday; however, most models show no interest in bringing us snow. Hopefully this changes...

Long-term Forecast

Scanning the meteorological crystal ball today was a little less disheartening than it has been recently... I have eyes on a potentially promising timeframe around Christmas Day. However, I have low confidence in snow totals because 1) it's a week out and 2) the storm track is being contested by the models; the GFS takes it in a kind of arc through Nevada, then Southern Utah, and then Colorado, while the Canadian gives us more of a direct hit. Either way, we at Utah Ski Weather will be keeping an eye on this for sure... a powder day would be an awesome Christmas present!

Have fun skiing at the resorts (skiing is skiing no matter the conditions...), or if you will be traveling in the backcountry, make sure you have the proper equipment and know before you go. For the forecast as well as all things avalanche, head over to our friends at the Utah Avalanche Center.




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