Saturday, December 30, 2023

Possible snow showers today, possible storm next weekend

 TL;DR

Aside from a few potential flakes today, we will remain mild and dry to close out the year. Models are showing the possibility for a storm next weekend, but low confidence on the details will preclude any further discussion right now.


Nowcast:


Our lovely local KMTX radar is showing some mostly light precipitation over northern Utah this morning, with the exception of one stronger cell SSW of the Cottonwood Canyons:


KMTX radar, courtesy of the National Weather Service

This will continue on and off throughout the day, accompanied by mild temps (in the 30s °F) and light winds.

Short term


The short-term is the same as the nowcast, with the change being that the clouds will clear out for New Year's Eve.


Long term


The next feasible period for snow looks to be about a week from now. Here's what the University of Utah model plumes are showing for Canyons:



The model plumes for Canyons, courtesy of the University of Utah Department of Atmospheric Sciences


They're at least showing something.


I'm not going to speculate on the details right now because seven days out is a long way out, and the storms this season have had a tendency to weaken as we enter the higher-confidence 2-3 day window. But rest assured that we at Utah Ski Weather will be keeping an eye on it, and once we have higher confidence, you will know the details...


Have fun skiing in the resorts, or if you're venturing into the backcountry, make sure you have the proper equipment and know before you go. For the whole avalanche forecast and all things avalanche head over to our friends at the Utah Avalanche Center.


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