Monday, November 21, 2022

Still Dry.... with Eyes on the Horizon!

TL;DR:


Same ‘ol, same ‘ol … for now, with a chance of a small dusting on thanksgiving eve and potential for more active weather next week.

 

Nowcast:

 

Hazy down here in the valley but looking like a nice day at elevation. Looks to be sunny with no cloud coverage. Temperatures are low this morning with base temperatures below 20°F, midmountain around 20°F, and a bit warmer on the peaks around 27°F. Don’t forget to pack sunscreen and wear some layers!

 

Hidden Peak Webcam via snowbird.com
                    

 

Short term:

 

As the high-pressure system lingers over the Great Basin area, temps will stay cool (highs in the mid 30s °F in the afternoon). Same sub-freezing evenings/nights so be sure to pack handwarmers with your headlamps for you nighttime warriors. There will be an appearance of cloud coverage rolling in tomorrow and a continuation of changes into next week.

 

 

 

 

Long term:

 

Things looking a little less dry with a chance of a light dusting coming in on Wednesday seen on GFS and GDPS models. This storm is not projected to deliver quite the thanksgiving dessert we want, but save some room because more storm cycles have some potential looking into next week. There could be more active weather by next week but there is still disagreement between models.




GDPS via spotwx


 


 GFS via spotwx
       

Backcountry comments:

 

Loads of surface hoar and faceting have been developed in the snowpack. This yields caution for sluffing of sugary snow, and danger associated with the next significant loading event.


Surface Hoar at Lower Days Fork (Zanetti & Alden)

As always,

 

If you will be traveling in the backcountry make sure you have the proper equipment and know before you go. For the whole avalanche forecast and all things avalanche head over to our friends at the Utah Avalanche Center.

 

 





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